TITLE

THINGS CHANGE: DYNAMIC RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS AND SYSTEM-DEPENDENT SELECTION IN THE EVOLUTION OF ORGANIZATIONAL POPULATIONS

AUTHOR(S)
Lomi, Alessandro; Larsen, Erik Reimer; Freeman, John
PUB. DATE
August 2001
SOURCE
Academy of Management Proceedings & Membership Directory;2001, pC1
SOURCE TYPE
Conference Proceeding
DOC. TYPE
Conference Paper
ABSTRACT
Empirical research on organizational demography provokes a series of questions for which existing theory provides few satisfying answers: (i) why do organizational populations suddenly collapse after reaching a peak? (ii) Why do organizational populations oscillate after collapsing? (iii) What causes organizational populations to go extinct? Because most available empirical models imply that organizational populations evolve to steady state densities, a variety of observable historical trajectories followed by mature organizational populations remain incompletely understood.The main objective of this study is to narrow the gap between theories, models and observed historical trajectories by establishing an analytical framework in which possible answers to these questions can be explored systematically. We design and conduct a series of virtual experiments to search for a model that admits equilibrium, resurgence, periodic fluctuations, sustained oscillations and extinction as special cases without departing substantially from models with demonstrated empirical standing. We use computer simulation to derive the qualitative implications of our arguments and to suggest a number of possible themes to future empirical research.
ACCESSION #
6133752

 

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