TITLE

Simulation of an uncertain emission market for greenhouse gases using agent-based methods

AUTHOR(S)
Nahorski, Zbigniew; Stańczak, Jarosław; Pałka, Piotr
PUB. DATE
June 2014
SOURCE
Climatic Change;Jun2014, Vol. 124 Issue 3, p647
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
The paper presents the problem of a simulation of the greenhouse gases emission permits market where only low accuracy emission amounts are known. An organization of the market with uncertain emissions is proposed and trading rules for individual market participants are discussed. Simulation of the market is based on a multi-agent system. Negotiation of purchase/sale prices between the parties are introduced, where the trading parties adopt one of two options: (i) bilateral negotiations, and (ii) sealed bid reverse auctions. Results of simulation runs show trajectories of transaction prices, as well as probability distributions of learning agents' bidding prices.
ACCESSION #
96396487

 

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