Prognostic simulation of alpine ecosystems in view of global climate change

Kolomyts, E.; Sharaya, L.
January 2012
Russian Journal of Ecology;Jan2012, Vol. 43 Issue 1, p1
Academic Journal
Experience in predicting the state of alpine ecosystems on the basis of empirical-statistical simulation is described using the example of the Central Caucasus. Two types of analytical and cartographic prognostic models, chorometric and chronometric, are presented. They are used to obtain probabilistic estimates of alpine meadows and forests in the vicinity of Mount Elbrus in view of the forthcoming global climate warming for the period until the year 2100 (by means of GISS Model E for climate prediction).


Related Articles

  • The Future of Forests. Howe, Steve // Backpacker;Sep2007, Vol. 35 Issue 7, p54 

    The article discusses the effects of global warming on forests.

  • Predicting the impact of global warming on soil water resources in marginal forests of the Middle Volga Region. Kolomyts, E.; Surova, N. // Water Resources;Jan2010, Vol. 37 Issue 1, p89 

    The response of local forest ecosystems to changes in summer soil moisture content in the context of possible climate changes. A procedure for local hydrological forecasting is presented. Calculations based on prediction climate models GISS and HadCM3 for forest ecosystems on zonal ecotones...

  • No easy answer. Randerson, James // New Scientist;4/13/2002, Vol. 174 Issue 2338, p16 

    Focuses on the impact of climate change on the forest in the U.S. Problems on global carbon dioxide emissions; Increase levels of carbon dioxides; Views of William Schlinger on the problem of global warming.

  • Spring-flowering herbaceous plant species of the deciduous forests of eastern Canada and 20th century climate warming. Houle, Gilles // Canadian Journal of Forest Research;Feb2007, Vol. 37 Issue 2, p505 

    Increases in the emission of greenhouse gases, particularly during the second half of the 20th century, have been associated with climate warming at the global scale. High latitude areas have been reported to be particularly sensitive to such changes, with significant impacts on plant phenology....

  • Brazil's Success in Reducing Deforestation. Boucher, Doug; Roquemore, Sarah; Fitzhugh, Estrellita // Tropical Conservation Science;2013 Special Issue, Vol. 6 Issue 5, p426 

    Over the past several years, the rate of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has dropped by more than two-thirds. This reduction has been achieved despite high beef and soy prices, which in previous years had pushed deforestation upward, and during the same time that Brazil made important...

  • Keep the planet's heart pumping. Pearce, Fred // New Scientist;4/4/2009, Vol. 202 Issue 2702, p6 

    The article reports that a couple of meteorologists have claimed in a controversial new theory that questions man's fundamental understanding of what drives the weather. They believe vast forests generate winds that help pump water around the planet. If correct, the theory would explain how the...

  • MODELLING CLIMATE CHANGE.  // Prospect;Feb2006, Issue 119, p13 

    The article reports that the world climate change modeling is marred in confusion by two very important discoveries. The author points out that aerosols actually reduce global warming than contribute to it. Forests are also found to cause large amount of methane emissions, and methane is...

  • Glacier foreland colonisation: distinguishing between short-term and long-term effects of climate change. Kaufmann, Rüdiger // Oecologia;Feb2002, Vol. 130 Issue 3, p470 

    By comparing short-term (6 years) observations with long-term (>100 years) community changes reconstructed from the chronosequence along a glacier foreland, I show that the colonisation of recently deglaciated terrain by invertebrates may constitute a process reacting sensitively to temperature...

  • New pollen evidence from Nariani (Georgia) for delayed postglacial forest expansion in the South Caucasus. Messager, Erwan; Nomade, Sébastien; Wilhelm, Bruno; Joannin, Sébastien; Scao, Vincent; Von Grafenstein, Ulrich; Martkoplishvili, Inga; Ollivier, Vincent; Mgeladze, Ana; Dumoulin, Jean-Pascal; Mazuy, Arnaud; Belmecheri, Soumaya; Lordkipanidze, David // Quaternary Research;Jan2017, Vol. 87 Issue 1, p121 

    The nature and timing of environmental changes throughout the last glacial-interglacial transition in the South Caucasus, and more widely in eastern Europe, are still not fully understood. According to certain pollen records, forest expansion occurred in many areas several millennia after what...


Read the Article


Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics