The Shape of Things to Come

Weidner, Justin; Williams, John C.
May 2010
FRBSF Economic Letter;5/17/2010, Vol. 2010 Issue 15, p1
Trade Publication
The article discusses the key indicators which had determined the past economic recoveries, and assess their influence on the current recovery. It mentions that the output gaps, rapid growth of output, and the real interest rates had contributed to the V-shaped recoveries in the past. It notes that these factors were silenced in the 1990-1991 and 2001 recessions, which had led to U-shaped recoveries. It states that these factors have moved to a moderate pace for the current recovery.


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