Migrant Information and the Remigration Decision: Further Evidence

Grant, E. Kenneth; Vanderkamp, John
April 1985
Southern Economic Journal;Apr85, Vol. 51 Issue 4, p1202
Academic Journal
This paper is an extension of our work concerning the relation between the remigration decision and in the "success" of a prior move for migration flows among 44 regions of Canada in the period 1968-71 [7; 8]. At the same time, the paper provides additional evidence for the various propositions recently advanced by Herzog and Schlottmann (H-S) [9; 10] regarding the likelihood of onward and backward migration. Similar to their work, we investigate the role that the distance of the prior move plays in influencing the remigration decision. However, our work differs from theirs in three respects: (1) all migration possibilities, including return migration, are considered in our model; (2) our results (and empirical specifications) are based on a large Canadian micro data base; and (3) we devise a direct test of the disappointment hypothesis. We interpret our results to indicate that a disappointing income experience during a previous move can be an important determinant in causing individuals to move again immediately after an initial move. Using a direct measure of disappointment, we find that the influence of disappointment appears to be especially important for return and onward moves and to a lesser extent for migrants who move close to the "home" region (backward return movers). The role that the distance of a prior move plays is less clear and appears to have no influence on either return or onward moves. On the other hand, some repeat movers seem to have a higher likelihood of choosing a location close to a home location the greater the distance they move away from it during a prior move.


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