TITLE

Registrants, Voters, and Turnout Variability Across Neighborhoods

AUTHOR(S)
Gimpel, James; Dyck, Joshua; Shaw, Daron
PUB. DATE
December 2004
SOURCE
Political Behavior;Dec2004, Vol. 26 Issue 4, p343
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
Although political participation has received wide-ranging scholarly attention, little is known for certain about the effects of social and political context on turnout. A scattered set of analyses-well-known by both political scientists and campaign consultants-suggests that one�s neighborhood has a relatively minor impact on the decision to vote. These analyses, however, typically rely upon data from a single location. Drawing on official lists of registered voters from sixteen major counties across seven states (including Florida) from the 2000 presidential election, we use geographic/mapping information and hierarchical models to obtain a more accurate picture of how neighborhood characteristics affect participation, especially among partisans. Our research shows that neighborhoods influence voting by interacting with partisan affiliation to dampen turnout among voters we might otherwise expect to participate. Most notably, we find Republican partisans in enemy territory tend to vote less than expected, even after accounting for socioeconomic status. Our findings have implications for campaign strategy, and lead us to suggest that campaign targeting efforts could be improved by an integration of aggregate- and individual-level information about voters.
ACCESSION #
15876840

 

Related Articles

  • Genius Loci and Voting Behaviour. Kubiak, Hieronim // Polish Sociological Review;1998, Issue 124, p357 

    This article analyses the reasons why the results of the parliamentary elections (1991, 1993, 1997), the presidential elections (1990, 1995) and the constitutional referendum (1997) in Southern Little Poland (Malopoiska region) departed significantly from the results obtained by left- and...

  • The Displaying of Yard Signs as a Form of Political Participation. Makse, Todd; Sokhey, Anand // Political Behavior;Mar2014, Vol. 36 Issue 1, p189 

    Despite the ubiquity of yard signs, little is known about how and why individuals display them. Using two original studies of the 2008 presidential race, along with American National Election Study data, we address three points pertaining to this understudied form of political participation....

  • GET OUT AND VOTE. Brownell, Ginanne // Newsweek (Pacific Edition);10/4/2004 (Pacific Edition), Vol. 144 Issue 14, p61 

    Reports on the efforts on the Democratic and Republican parties to encourage Americans who are overseas to vote in the presidential elections in 2004. How people get absentee ballots; Need for one to register as an overseas voter; When the voting ballots are due; Question of whether overseas...

  • GET OUT AND VOTE. Brownell, Ginanne // Newsweek (Atlantic Edition);10/4/2004 (Atlantic Edition), Vol. 144 Issue 14, p79 

    Reports on the efforts on the Democratic and Republican parties to encourage Americans who are overseas to vote in the presidential elections in 2004. How people get absentee ballots; Need for one to register as an overseas voter; When the voting ballots are due; Question of whether overseas...

  • Political profiles of the presidential pre-campaign. Rus, Flaviu Calin // Journal of Media Research;2009, Issue 5, p17 

    The purpose of this material is to analyze the public image of the three main candidates for the Romanian presidency. The candidates' image profiles will be quantified through several parameters, such as: political status, political behavior, achievements etc. In order to better categorize each...

  • THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1992 Update. Fair, Ray C. // Political Behavior;Jun1996, Vol. 18 Issue 2, p119 

    This article updates through the 1992 election the equation originally presented in Fair (1978) explaining votes for president. Conditional predictions of the 1996 election are also made.

  • STIMULUS DIFFERENTIATION VERSUS STIMULUS COMPLEXITY AS FACTORS AFFECTING TURNOUT IN TWO-CANDIDATE AND MULTICANDIDATE RACES. Brody, Richard A.; Grofman, Bernard // Political Behavior;1982, Vol. 4 Issue 1, p83 

    Rational incentives and psychological involvement are hypothetical alternative motives for voting participation. The relationship of these alternative motives to turnout is explored in the presidential elections held between 1952 and 1976. Rational incentives as such are not more productive of...

  • THE POLITICS OF DISGRUNTLEMENT: Nonvoting and Defection among Supporters of Nomination Losers, 1968-1984. Southwell, Priscilla L. // Political Behavior;1986, Vol. 8 Issue 1, p81 

    This paper focuses on the effect of disgruntlement among those primary voters who supported U.S. presidential nomination losers. It analyzes the general election voting behavior of primary voters in the last five presidential elections in order to determine if differences exist between those...

  • The Consequences of Battleground and “Spectator” State Residency for Political Participation. Lipsitz, Keena // Political Behavior;Jun2009, Vol. 31 Issue 2, p187 

    This study uses pooled NES and state-level turnout data from 1988 through 2004 to assess whether a participation gap is emerging in the United States between the residents of battleground and non-battleground states in presidential elections. The analysis finds that Electoral College (EC)...

Share

Read the Article

Courtesy of THE LIBRARY OF VIRGINIA

Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics